ASCEND
ASCEND-CX 2.0 · daily cadence · 7 weighted factors

AI Crypto Momentum Predictions

The same pipeline that prices sports and equities, retrained on assets that never close. Each session the engine scores the liquid crypto universe across seven weighted factors, calibrates a probability, compares it against what perps and options already price, and publishes only the rotations that clear the edge threshold.

Verifying your access…

What lands, and when

The schedule this engine runs on. Every run writes a heartbeat, so if a cycle is late you can see it on the status board rather than guessing.

Every sessionFull rescore of the liquid universe and a fresh rotation board.
On each runFunding and basis dislocations refreshed against the trailing mean.
ContinuouslyHeartbeat written to the status board; a stale run shows as degraded.

The factor stack

7 weighted inputs, published in full. Weights sum to 1.0 and are refit against out-of-sample periods — never against the window being reported.

20%Cross-Sectional MomentumVolatility-normalised trend across 7/30/90-day lookbacks.
17%Perp Funding StressFunding rate and open-interest skew versus the trailing mean.
15%Market BreadthShare of majors confirming the same direction.
14%Liquidity DepthOrder-book depth and slippage at the intended clip size.
13%On-Chain FlowExchange net-flow, stablecoin supply and holder-cohort drift.
11%Implied vs Realised VolTerm-structure slope against realised volatility.
10%Beta to Risk AssetsRolling beta to equity risk appetite and the dollar.
Model card
Settled digital-asset calls at published prices
Model version
ASCEND-CX 2.0
Weighted factors
7
Calibrated band
38% – 78%
Kelly fraction
0.2x
Hit rate
56.9%
Brier score
0.2430
  • Cross-Sectional Momentum · 20% weight — Volatility-normalised trend across 7/30/90-day lookbacks.
  • Perp Funding Stress · 17% weight — Funding rate and open-interest skew versus the trailing mean.
  • Market Breadth · 15% weight — Share of majors confirming the same direction.

How a cycle is built

1 · Liquidity screen

Depth and expected slippage at the intended clip size remove anything unfillable at the quoted price.

2 · Factor scoring

Momentum, funding stress, breadth, depth, on-chain flow, vol term structure and risk beta collapse into one composite.

3 · Calibration

The composite maps to a probability using out-of-sample periods only, so the quoted number is the number that historically resolved.

4 · Edge test

That probability is compared against perp and options pricing. No material gap, no publication.

5 · Sizing

Survivors get a fractional-Kelly weight with a hard cap plus an explicit invalidation level.

6 · Heartbeat

Every run writes its state, item count and duration, so a missed cycle is visible publicly.

Frequently asked questions

What members ask before unlocking AI Crypto Momentum Desk.

What lands each session?

Directional momentum calls across majors, funding and basis dislocations, and realised-versus-implied volatility reads — each with a calibrated probability, expected move and fractional-Kelly weight.

Which assets are covered?

Majors and high-liquidity alts only. Order-book depth and expected slippage at the intended clip size are a weighted factor, so thin assets are screened out rather than ranked.

Does it run overnight?

Digital assets never close, so the engine scores every session and writes a heartbeat each run. Its live state is published on the engine status board.

What accuracy should I expect?

The model card publishes the settled hit rate and Brier score behind the version currently running, with the sample it was measured on. Crypto momentum edges are thin and regime-dependent.

The rest of the fleet

Risk disclosure

Ascend publishes quantitative research, not investment or betting advice. Every published call can lose, past model performance does not predict future results, and sizing is your decision. Never risk capital you cannot afford to lose.