ASCEND
ASCEND-EQ reference

The Factor Stack, Published in Full

Eight weighted inputs decide whether an equity idea is published. The weights sum to 1.0 and are refit quarterly against out-of-sample sessions — never against the window being reported. Below is each factor with its weight, how it is measured, why it earns its place, and the conditions under which it is known to fail. We publish the failure modes because a model without documented weaknesses is a marketing document.

17%

Price Momentum (20/60d)

Risk-adjusted trend strength across two lookbacks, volatility-normalised.

16%

Earnings Revision Breadth

Direction and dispersion of forward EPS revisions across covering analysts.

14%

Valuation vs Sector

Forward multiple against the sector median, growth-adjusted.

13%

Institutional Flow

Dark-pool prints, block accumulation and 13F drift.

How it is measured
Net dealer positioning and options open-interest skew across the front two expiries.
Why it earns weight
Hedging flow is mechanical, so it is the most predictable buyer or seller in the tape.
Where it fails
Expiry weeks, where gamma unwinds distort the reading before it can pay.
12%

Options Skew & Gamma

Put/call skew, dealer gamma positioning and term-structure slope.

11%

Macro Regime Sensitivity

Beta to real rates, dollar and credit spreads under the current regime.

How it is measured
Rate path, credit spreads and dollar impulse mapped to sector sensitivities.
Why it earns weight
Sector-level beta to the macro impulse explains a large share of dispersion.
Where it fails
Policy surprises, where the impulse re-prices faster than any daily model can react.
10%

Sector Breadth

Share of sector constituents confirming the same direction.

How it is measured
Share of sector constituents confirming the same directional impulse.
Why it earns weight
A move carried by one constituent reverts far more often than one carried by the group.
Where it fails
Highly concentrated sectors where a single megacap is the sector.
7%

Positioning & Sentiment

Short interest, retail crowding and news-sentiment residual.

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